^{Source: France 24}

The European Union’s ambitious plan to phase out all imports of Russian gas, nuclear energy, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) by 2027 has sparked significant backlash from Russia’s allies within the bloc. Eastern European nations, particularly Slovakia and Hungary, have voiced concerns that the move could lead to economic challenges and heightened energy insecurity, describing it as a 'serious mistake' and 'economic suicide.'

EU’s Roadmap to Energy Independence

The European Commission unveiled its strategic plan on Tuesday, aiming to eliminate dependence on Russian energy imports by 2027. This move follows ongoing efforts since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, which prompted the EU to reduce imports of Russian oil, coal, and petroleum products. Despite these efforts, gas imports have proven harder to cut, with Russian gas still accounting for nearly 19% of the EU's gas and LNG imports in 2024, down from 45% in 2021, according to European Commission data.

Dan Jorgensen, European Commissioner for Energy, stated that the EU’s current dependence on Russian energy is 'unacceptable,' pointing out that ongoing imports indirectly fund the Kremlin's war efforts. Jorgensen emphasized the importance of energy independence, saying, 'We must ensure that we are no longer vulnerable to a regime that uses energy as a weapon.'

The Backlash: Eastern Europe Pushes Back

However, the proposal has ignited fierce opposition from countries that have maintained closer ties with Moscow. Slovakian Prime Minister Robert Fico called the plan 'economic suicide,' arguing that cutting ties with Russia altogether would harm the region’s economy. Hungary’s Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó labeled the EU’s strategy as 'politically motivated' and 'a serious mistake,' asserting that it threatens energy security, increases prices, and compromises national sovereignty.

Both Slovakia and Hungary have historically opposed EU measures aimed at reducing energy dependency on Russia, fearing the economic repercussions and increased costs for consumers. In the past, both countries have resisted EU efforts to extend sanctions against Russia, seeking concessions before approval. These nations are particularly concerned about replacing affordable Russian energy with potentially more expensive alternatives.

Economic Impact and Market Reactions

The EU's move has raised questions about the economic impact on the region. Slovakia and Hungary, both heavily reliant on Russian gas, face potential cost increases if forced to transition rapidly to other energy sources. Analysts predict that the shift could strain local economies, especially as both nations have kept energy prices lower for citizens through long-term contracts with Russia.

Experts, including David Roche from Quantum Strategy, warn that moving away from Russian energy too quickly could destabilize the energy market, driving up prices and creating supply shortages. Hungary’s leadership has also criticized the EU’s focus on supporting Ukraine’s EU accession, claiming that citizens are being forced to bear the cost of geopolitical strategies.

Legislative Hurdles Ahead

Despite opposition, the EU's legislative proposals are set to be presented in June. Jorgensen clarified that the plan does not require unanimity among member states, meaning a qualified majority could pass the proposal. The EU has called for a coordinated and gradual approach, requesting member states to submit national plans by the end of the year outlining how they will reduce reliance on Russian gas, nuclear energy, and oil.

Looking Forward: A Divided Bloc

The ongoing debate highlights a deep divide within the EU regarding energy policy and geopolitical strategy. While Western European countries are pushing for rapid energy diversification, Eastern European allies continue to emphasize the practical and economic difficulties of phasing out Russian imports. The next few months will be critical in determining whether the EU can achieve consensus on this contentious issue while balancing energy security and political independence.

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